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Upcoming Seminars
TUESDAY, April 29, 2008
MATHEMATICS AND COGNITION SEMINAR PSA 206 12:15 p.m.
Tom Taylor, Department of Mathematics and Statistics
"A Probabilistic View of Dempster-Shafer Theory and It's
Generalizations"
ABSTRACT: Dempster-Shafer theory is a mathematical theory of
evidence which aims to transcend the bounds of probability
theory in the representation of uncertainty, based on the
concept of a "belief function." Belief functions assigns
probability to events for which there is a evidence to support
the belief, and where there is no rational basis for assigning
a probability, represents uncertainty in set theoretic terms.
A feature of this theory which has been frequently criticized
is the Dempster combination rule for combining independent
beliefs, which has generated numerous attempts to construct an
alternative combination rule, which include Smet's transferable
belief theory.
I will discuss a probabilistic model of the Dempster-Shafer
theory, going so far as frequentism in the process. The
Dempster rule is revealed as the combination of Bayes rule with
simple set theory. We extend this theory to the consideration
of evidence which may be false or corrupted.
Note: this talk will be an informal, black-board style talk.
Reading:
http://www.sandia.gov/epistemic/Reports/SAND2002-0835.pdf
http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/Projects/trans.html
Coffee and cookies will be served at 12:00 p.m.
APPLIED ANALYSIS AND PDE READING SEMINAR PSA 546 3:00 p.m.
For more information, contact Svetlana Roudenko.
WEDNESDAY, April 30, 2008
NUMBER THEORY SEMINAR PSA 230 1:40 p.m.
Dong Quan Nguyen, Department of Mathematics and Statistics
"On the Duffin-Schaeffer Conjecture, Part II"
ABSTRACT: We will prove the Duffin-Schaeffer theorem, which
motivates the formulation of the Duffin-Schaeffer conjecture.
THURSDAY, May 1, 2008
APPLIED MATHEMATICS/ENVIRONMENTAL FLUID DYNAMICS
SPECIAL SEMINAR ISTB2 299 2:00 p.m.
Vanda Grubisic, National Center for Atmospheric Research
Boulder, Colorado
"Terrain-induced Rotor Experiment:
New Insights into Lee Waves and Atmospheric Rotors"
ABSTRACT: Atmospheric rotors are three-dimensional anisotropic
Atmospheric vortices that form parallel to and downwind of a
mountain crest under conditions conducive to generation of
large-amplitude lee waves. Intermittency, high-levels of
turbulence, and complex small-scale internal structure are
defining characteristics of rotors, which pose a known hazard
to aviation. The central objective of the Terrain-induced Rotor
Experiment (T-REX, March-April 2006, Sierra Nevada, CA) was to
provide a comprehensive set of in situ and remotely-sensed
meteorological observations from the ground to the upper
tropospheric-lower stratospheric altitudes for the
documentation of spatiotemporal characteristics of a tightly
coupled system, consisting of an atmospheric rotor, terrain-
induced internal gravity waves, and a complex-terrain boundary
layer. Along with a concise overview of the entire project,
presented will be new insights into the structure of
atmospheric rotors and their relation to atmospheric lee waves
that have emerged from our T-REX observational analyses to date
and the related real-data and idealized numerical modeling
studies of lee waves and, more generally, flow over complex
terrain.
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